Expression the Possible Scenarios of the Islamic Globalcity with a Futuristic Approach (Case Study: Isfahan)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD student of Geography and Urban Planning, Department of Urban Planning, Faculty of Geographical Sciences and Planning, University of Isfahan, Iran.

2 Associate Professor, Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Faculty of Geographical Sciences and Planning, University of Isfahan, Iran.

Abstract

According to the writers, the city of Isfahan has the ability to become an Islamic global city, considering its historical records and natural, political and economic capabilities and its strategic position in the country and the Middle East region. But due to the economic and political challenges in recent years, especially the sanctions and recent economic recessions, these opportunities have been faced with risks that in this research possible scenarios (golden, stagnant and catastrophic) are examined as the Islamic globalcity. This article is for reviewing and defining the Islamic global city and identifying the indicators of the Islamic global city and Analysis of possible scenarios (golden, static and catastrophic) of Isfahan as an Islamic global city. For this purpose, it examines the most important factors affecting the emergence of Isfahan as an Islamic city in the world and analyzes the possible scenarios of Isfahan in a futuristic way.This research is applied in terms of purpose and according to the studied components, the approach is the descriptive-analytical method And environmental and Delphi scanning technique has been used to identify variables and indicators. Based on the obtained sources and experts' opinions, out of 168 variables of global city and Islamic City, 51 variables were obtained to identify the global Islamic City. The identified variables were categorized based on the level of impact and placed in Mick Mac software for cross-impact analysis matrix calculations. Finally, 16 variables including GDP, urban market dynamics, diversity and competitiveness of commodity prices, hosting large international companies (top 500 global companies), urban population, number of international direct flights, number of large hotels, Number of foreign visitors, diversity of energy production, attraction capacity of tourist sites, location in main transportation routes, low government interference in the market and market supervision, establishment of international banks, existence of international stock exchanges, number of top universities and the amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) were obtained As effective key drivers of Isfahan's transformation into a global city. From the analysis of these 16 variables, 3 scenarios were predicted for the next 10 years in Isfahan global city

Keywords

References

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Geography and Territorial Spatial Arrangement
Volume 12, Issue 45
December 2022
Pages 129-156

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History

  • Receive Date: 03 March 2022
  • Revise Date: 22 October 2022
  • Accept Date: 29 October 2022

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