نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشیار گروه جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، دانشگاه پیام‌نور یزد
2 استاد گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران
3 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران
4 دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامهریزی شهری، دانشگاه تبریز، تبریز، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Today, children are the future generations of our society. That explains the need for general understanding and all the way to children and design and build the child- friendly city. The goal of this research Child friendly City Foresight of Tabriz City and The type of research is applied-developmental. And the MicMac, GRA and Scenario models have been used for data analysis. According to the results of the MicMac software 10 key factors were identified. These key factors were then prioritized using the GRA model at the level of 10 Tabriz areas. The results of the gray analysis method were determined and it was evaluated for 10 areas. Zone 1 is the top priority, Zone 4 in the second priority and Zones 9 and 8 had the worst situation than Child- friendly city. And finally, important influential scenarios were formulated in the child-friendly city of Tabriz Using ScenarioWizard. And the results from the scenariowizard showed that 13 plausible and probable scenarios (1 scenario with optimum status, 2 Scenarios with fixed status and 10 critical-case scenarios) were obtained for the future status of the Child- friendly city Foresight in the Tabriz city. According to expert opinions, there are desperate situations to accomplish child-friendly city in Tabriz's 10 districts in the 1410 Horizons especially for areas 8 and 9. This subject necessity of planning has made it necessary. To counteract and reduce the negative impacts of their occurrence, as well as the need to pay attention to the optimal scenario.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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